Thanks Quico, a brilliant summary. You say the role of albedo is hotly contested, but the facts from NASA and NOAA data are abundantly clear. The IPCC recognises NOAA's calculation that new emissions add 0.04 watts per square metre to Earth's Energy Imbalance through the greenhouse effect each year. Since 2023, NASA CERES satellite data has measured annual albedo loss at 0.2 w/m2, adding five times as much new warming as new emissions. And the darkening rate is doubling each decade. Ignoring albedo is a recipe for collapse.
Has Quico written on his positive interactions with activists or journalists in the climate community? For example, David Wallace-Wells has a huge audience: what does he think about Quico's work?
1. Everything is going to be electrified for additional reasons anyway, may as well advocate for it to happen faster.
2. Cement is a big problem. Others not so much: green virgin steel is possible, synthetic jet fuel is possible. We already have days where electricity prices are going negative due to solar, when the price of electricity is zero suddenly a lot of industrial processes become possible.
3. Reforestation is already the norm in rich countries.
Ultimately I think we disagree on perspective: I see global warming as a long term problem, while you think more immediate solutions are necessary. This leads me to focus on solutions that prioritise avoiding make the problem worse, while you focus on solutions that will work the fastest even at the expense of higher risk.
How big is that risk. Don't know. I certainly agree it would be worth funding large studies. But! Don't underestimate solar electricity, it's going to get very, very cheap.
Ah promoting the primary energy fallacy! Electrify and use 3-4x less energy for heating and 4-5x less for transport. This compounds with less energy needed for extracting refining and transporting hydrocarbons. Next.
Thanks Quico, a brilliant summary. You say the role of albedo is hotly contested, but the facts from NASA and NOAA data are abundantly clear. The IPCC recognises NOAA's calculation that new emissions add 0.04 watts per square metre to Earth's Energy Imbalance through the greenhouse effect each year. Since 2023, NASA CERES satellite data has measured annual albedo loss at 0.2 w/m2, adding five times as much new warming as new emissions. And the darkening rate is doubling each decade. Ignoring albedo is a recipe for collapse.
⁹Didn't Aretha sing out loud a piece of the silver buckshof plan 60 years ago :
R-E-F-L-E-C-T!
Has Quico written on his positive interactions with activists or journalists in the climate community? For example, David Wallace-Wells has a huge audience: what does he think about Quico's work?
1. Everything is going to be electrified for additional reasons anyway, may as well advocate for it to happen faster.
2. Cement is a big problem. Others not so much: green virgin steel is possible, synthetic jet fuel is possible. We already have days where electricity prices are going negative due to solar, when the price of electricity is zero suddenly a lot of industrial processes become possible.
3. Reforestation is already the norm in rich countries.
Ultimately I think we disagree on perspective: I see global warming as a long term problem, while you think more immediate solutions are necessary. This leads me to focus on solutions that prioritise avoiding make the problem worse, while you focus on solutions that will work the fastest even at the expense of higher risk.
How big is that risk. Don't know. I certainly agree it would be worth funding large studies. But! Don't underestimate solar electricity, it's going to get very, very cheap.
Quico is spot on in getting the climate beast tamed now so we can slay it before it slays us.
If we don't reflect drawdown would be pissin' in the fiery winds.
Ah promoting the primary energy fallacy! Electrify and use 3-4x less energy for heating and 4-5x less for transport. This compounds with less energy needed for extracting refining and transporting hydrocarbons. Next.